DMN Sept 2

PSEI 3,666.54 up73.13 Change 2%
Value php    6,661,439,381

Dow Jones    10,269.47    +254.75    (2.54%)
S&P 500    1,080.29    +30.96    (2.95%)
Nasdaq    2,176.84    +62.81    (2.97%)

Wall Street surges over 2.5 percent after strong U.S. and Chinese manufacturing reports relieved some of the mounting worries over the global economy.

The Philippines had such a strong day that only two index stocks declined, namely: MER SMC.

Leading the index gainers were AC +11 psei points 368, BPI +10 psei points 50.2, MBT EDC AGI PX FLI MEG.  Other bank BDO performed also well at 53.85, but PNB seems to be lagging.  hitting a 41.90 but a lot of selling brought it down to 41.25 before a close of 41.40.  Macquarie’s selling has turned less aggressive, but new seller UBS poured on the supply.

The Return of DMN Sept 1

PSEi 3,593.41 up 27     0.76%
value php 6,835,298,232.17

Dow Jones    10,014.72    +4.99    (0.05%)
S&P 500    1,049.33    +0.41    (0.04%)

Consumer Confidence Index for August was 53.5, up from a revised 51.0 in July, and better than the 51.0 forecasted. While positive, the reading is line with consumer confidence a year ago, meaning little has changed in the minds of consumers.  This was enough to save a plunging wall street, erasing half percent losses from early trade.  However, The bleaker news was from a reading of business activity in the Midwest, where The Chicago Purchasing Managers index came in at 56.7, a low level for the year, and weaker than the 57.6 expected for August. The index was 62.3 in July.  This caused a tug of war and netted a flat close for their major indeces.

LN’s UCC’s Aug 27

Finally, the DOW did what I had been expecting, which was to rebound from its current lows… The S/P looked to have fashioned out a bottom at the 1,039~1,040 levels, touching these levels two times this week alone. Remember that if we do rally up from here, this still instigates a higher low from that 1,010 (most recent lows).

Being able to do it on a Friday  weekend factor), closing at its highs and being able to return above that 1,060 level I previously mentioned as supports, momentum should be able to take the S/P to return to the 1,100 level early next week. Of course, we have to again digest next Friday’s August jobs data, but that will happen only not until later on the week.

DMN Aug 27 “The Replacements” Edition

PSEI 3,558.67 DOWN 36.91pts -1.0266%
VALUE PHP 3,648,989,614.50 

Dow Jones 9,985.81 -74.25 (-0.74%)
S&P 500 1,047.22 -8.11 (-0.77%)
Nasdaq 2,118.69 -22.85 (-1.07%)

The drop in US jobless claims sends the DOW up by 40pts in early trade, only to have news of a slowdown in manufacturing growth in August trigger a mild selloff with the US major index closing below 10K for the first time since July 6. Tonight, the revised figure for US 2Q GDP will be released and is estimated to be lower at 1.4%. 1Q was 3.7%.

LN’s UCC’s Aug 26

My reading of the US markets lately have not been as accurate, but I believe last night was the litmus ultimate test for the DOW/S&P and if I am right, then we could see the rebound that I was hoping for starting tonight. Tonight’s calendar gives us the weekly jobless claims…

The DOW traded below 10,000 and the S&P touched lows of 1,o40 (rounded up) last night. It is also worthy to note that the EURO has returned to the 1.27 levels.

Locally, a whipsaw week saw our favorite stocks getting clobbered for two successive days. I have always believed that the current run of the markets is for real, and an isolated incident such as the recent ‘hostage crisis’ should be viewed as a golden chance to re-enter/enter the markets. Today, I was finally proven right.

DMN AUG 26 Philippines Hostage Crisis on Pam NTS Trading Terminals

PSEI 3,595.58 up 41.43 1.17%
VALUE PHP 3,830,855,164.50

Dow Jones 10,060.06 +19.61 (0.20%)
S&P 500 1,055.33 +3.46 (0.33%)
Nasdaq 2,141.54 +17.78 (0.84%)

Everything was rosy with wall street futures, then a rain cloud of gloom set in just before the open, erasing any possible “future” gain. This only turned for the worse when they released worse than expected home sales data. Thankfully for the bulls, the almost 1% drop was all erased and they managed to register gains by the close. This slight improvement in appetite risk also brought back oil to near $73 per barrel. Hey, it’s speculation, not demand!

DMN AUG 25 Philippines moves on after hostage crisis

PSE 3,554.15  up %0.67 up 23.66
value 4,414,231,828.50

Dow Jones    10,040.45    -133.96    (-1.32%)
S&P 500    1,051.87    -15.49    (-1.45%)
Nasdaq    2,123.76    -35.87    (-1.66%)

Wall Street was already expecting poor housing data, hence its futures were showing a drop of 1% at pre open.  Confirmation that existing home sales were down 27% in July saw the Dow plunge slightly below 10k at the open, and immediately V reverse after that.  However, any attempt at recovery was doused at the final hour, to close their major indexes down about 1.5%.

LN’s UCC’s (Useful Chit-Chats) Aug 24 ’10

As of press time, the DOW is currently down 100pts right at the opening gates, and S/P has also fallen below my personal 1,060 levels… Going into half hour into the trade, at exactly 10:00am ET, existing home sales which is the main culprit for today’s negative session is expected to be more than bad.

When that data comes out, I do expect the US markets to react positively irregardless of the results. I will not be surprised to wake up and see the DOW end up in the green.