Daily Market Notes December 14, 2009

PSEi 3,042.10 UP 10.97
value php 1,628,900,235.00

DOW    65.67 +0.63% 10,471.50
NASDAQ 0.55 -0.03% 2,190.31
S&P 500 4.06 +0.37% 1,106.41

Stronger-than-expected November retail sales and a surprising rise in business inventories in October pointed to a recovery in consumer spending. Consumer sentiment also improved in early December lifting the S&P Retail index by 1.3%, both reasons fueling further rise of Wall Street.

Locally, the lifting of martial law in the secluded province of Maguindanao buffered any potential huge drops, and in fact saved the day that was mostly in the red, to eke out some gains by the close.

Gainers were led by the banking sector: MBT 46.5, BPI 48, BDO 39, plus TEL GLO AC BDO MER MWC.  Property/holding firms were still quiet to slightly lower: AC/ALI SMPH RLC MEG, and PX.

Daily Market Notes December 8, 2009 Out for the Holidays?

PSEi    3,012.07         DOWN   34.56
value php   3,705,624,860.00

DOW     1.21 +0.01% 10,390.11
NASDAQ 4.74 -0.22%  2,189.61

S&P 500 2.73 -0.25%  1,103.25

Wall Street goes sideways.  Asia trades flat to slightly lower.

For the local market, we have dwindling value turnover continuing.  Without URC's 1.1 Billion pesos worth of crosses, our market traded only 2.7B, giving an impression that investors' appetite for risk has taken a sideline and are now resting for the Christmas season.

Only 4 index stocks gained, albeit slightly: EDC URC MWC AEV.  About half were losers led by MER AC SM ALI BDO.

MER's 12 peso drop to 202 (breakdown of 210 support) was done on aggressive 76m net foreign selling, which didn't bode too well for FPH 50, FGEN 16.25, BPC 3.45 (but force closed to 3.55).

Longneck’s UCC’s (Useful Chit-Chats) Dec 7 ’09

 - – -  THE EARLY AM and SUPER LATE EDITION – - -

Today marked the block sale of PX at P21.00 from RVO and co. to MVP and probably raised the speculation bar that Lolo could be next in line. This made today’s newspaper’s headlines as MA/MAB/LC/LCB are all up, higher and actively traded. MA/MAB is even the top gainer/s.

Is this a one-day wonder? Let’s hope Lolo’s dump trucks are out of commission, and are all in the North Pole scooping snow and also preparing gifts for long time believers. If there will be a follow through tomorrow, we don’t even need them to really go UP significantly. All we need is more or at par volume as what transpired today. If this happens, then this should signify accumulation, and may just be the key.

Daily Market Notes December 4 , 2009 of ISM and ISM

PSEi   3,061.99         DOWN   28.92
value php     2,376,795,480.00

DOW    86.53 -0.83% 10,366.15
NASDAQ 11.89 -0.54% 2,173.14
S&P 500   9.32 -0.84% 1,099.9

The (ISM) Institute for Supply Management’s index of non- manufacturing businesses in the U.S. — almost 90 percent of the world’s largest economy — fell to 48.7 from 50.6 in October. A reading below 50 indicates a contraction. A report on U.S. unemployment today may show the rate remain at a 26-year high of 10.2 percent, according to a Bloomberg survey.  Bank of America's plan to pay back the government $45 billion was met with muted response.  

Local stocks were back to their anemic usual self without the inflated value turnover for CPM FLI MER PX.

Daily Market Notes November 25, 2009

PSEi    3,064.30         DOWN   10.36
value php      2,987,361,500.00

DOW    17.24 -0.16% 10,433.71
NASDAQ 6.83 -0.31% 2,169.18

S&P 500 0.59 -0.05% 1,105.65

Stocks ended a volatile session with modest losses Tuesday, as the Fed's improved outlook and some signs of improvement in housing tempered a weaker revision on economic growth released in the morning. -cnnfn.com

Gold hits a high of $1171 and only PX is "Affected" amongst our local mines.  PX movement to 19.25 is actually caused by speculation of Ongpin/MVP related acquisition news.  LC/B, on the other hand, tried to rally to .023/.026 on anticipation of any possible fruitful deal with MVP.  They left MA/B behind at .023.

Index gainers were few: ICT PX EDC MBT LC ., about 1/3 unchanged, and slightly over 1/3 were losers.  

Daily Market Notes November 18, 2009

PSEi     3,052.61         UP     20.52
value php     4,246,223,035.00

DOW    30.46 +0.29% 10,437.42
NASDAQ 5.93 +0.27% 2,203.78
S&P 500 0.87 +0.08% 1,110.17

Correction slash rally for wall street, continued mixed rally for the pse.

Today, the oddballs PX and MER reclaimed their oddball crown and took the lead. PX rallied 1.25 to 15.25, worth 10.7 psei points, while MER gained 4 to 216 worth 4.7 points.  Granted that the past two day's drop despite wall street's 1.4% rally, I guess their trades today pretty much evens out the slate and resets the market.

Some other bluechip rotational buying could be said for ALI 12.25, MBT 46, PNB 26, BDO 39.50, URC AEV JFC DMC.  About 1/3 of the index stocks traded flat, whereas the other 1/3 cooperated with the bulls and were down only slgihtly each, led by AC's one fluctuation 5 peso drop to 305 worth 3 points.

Daily Market Notes October 29, 2009

PSEi    2,862.33         DOWN   45.88
value php       3,308,579,940.00

DOW    119.48 -1.21% 9,762.69
NASDAQ 56.48 -2.67% 2,059.61
S&P 500 20.78 -1.95% 1,042.63

Stocks tumble as new home sales post surprise drop to 402,000 (from expected 450,000) for September.  Mining stocks of hard and soft commodities fall as the U.S. dollar strengthens, currently sending the Philippine Peso back to 48.

Local equities did not stand a chance.  Hitting a maximum drop of 59 points before closing down 45, the psei might be on the way to creating mini lower highs as it reaches 2,700.  This trendline value of 2,700 is only a current approximation as it steadily goes up by the day, and value may differ depending on the time and days it takes to get there.

By closing, only 2 index stocks were left standing, and both of these even a last minute runup: PX 10.75  (nfb 111m php), and MBT 40 (nfb 30m).  You've got to hand it to PX though, sellers posted amounting to about 15m shares at 10.25, 22m at 10.50, and some 10.75 were all bought up at the close mostly by broker Asiasec.

Daily Market Notes October 15, 2009

PSEi 2,942.79 UP 12.09
value php 3,234,684,796.20
over 4B php in volume desperately needed to bring us past 3000!

DOW 144.80 +1.47% 10,015.86
NASDAQ 32.34 +1.51% 2,172.23
S&P 500 18.83 +1.75% 1,092.02

Intel beating estimates but giving a rosy outlook, plus JPMorgan smashing estimates help keep the DJIA rally well above 1% for most of their trading day, and keeping their head above the 10k water level by closing.  The dollar slid to the lowest level since August 2008 and Treasuries fell.   The rally also was boosted by data showing retail sales falling less than economists forecast last month.